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Red144
293057.7
94913.0
291065.1
Blue118
321840.9
902324.6
408931.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14995050200144118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.1
64.965.0
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
red by 24.2
3218
#12
40.90.5
40.440.9
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
Second
57.70.1
57.557.6
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
red by 26.2
31.50.5
31.031.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Third
949
#31
13.00.1
12.812.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End4.4
blue by 11.6
9023
#19
24.60.5
24.124.6
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1