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Red142
36043.5
451221.8
204652.6
Blue121
241245.6
252227.6
131842.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120127050100150200250300350142121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.6
51.652.2
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
red by 7.0
45.60.0
46.046.0
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
360
#3
43.50.6
42.543.1
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End7.1
red by 1.3
42.30.0
42.742.7
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Third
4512
#26
21.80.6
20.821.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End6.1
blue by 5.8
2522
#22
27.60.0
28.028.0
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4