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Red98
408931.5
902324.6
321840.9
Blue159
446935.0
94833.5
824817.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107835015098159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#12
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
red by 5.9
4469
#20
35.01.1
33.534.6
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Second
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 2.0
948
#10
33.51.1
31.933.0
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Third
9023
#19
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
red by 7.6
8248
#30
17.01.1
15.416.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End4.8