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Red157
252234.2
36053.0
999055.9
Blue114
999932.5
189930.6
592033.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12377050100150200250157114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.95.5
28.133.6
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
red by 23.0
5920
#20
33.01.5
34.035.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End8.4
Second
360
#5
53.03.3
46.349.6
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End8.3
red by 20.5
9999
#22
32.52.4
23.425.8
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
Third
2522
#17
34.23.3
28.231.5
Auto10.5
Teleop16.3
End7.6
red by 3.6
1899
#14
30.61.5
29.831.2
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned