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Red64
999118.1
762743.6
417321.9
Blue101
639026.3
451329.3
293061.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051365015020025064101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#15
43.62.3
53.951.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.2
blue by 18.3
61.91.8
57.856.0
Auto17.3
Teleop38.2
End6.1
Second
4173
#23
21.92.3
25.423.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End5.7
blue by 7.4
4513
#25
29.31.8
28.827.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Third
9991
#29
18.13.8
19.015.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.5
blue by 8.2
6390
#32
26.31.8
36.134.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed