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Red121
299028.4
241252.6
451225.9
Blue144
177849.2
746137.3
491145.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95145050200250121144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#11
52.61.2
45.947.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 3.4
49.21.2
47.648.8
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End9.8
Second
2990
#24
28.41.2
24.725.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 16.6
4911
#10
45.01.2
39.941.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
Third
4512
#16
25.91.2
22.924.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
blue by 11.4
7461
#19
37.31.2
39.140.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed