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Red130
999055.9
94835.8
805123.9
Blue210
154046.0
999232.0
36053.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001170200300400500130210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.94.4
23.728.1
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
red by 2.9
360
#5
53.02.9
43.446.3
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End8.3
Second
948
#13
35.82.7
34.437.0
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End4.8
blue by 10.2
46.02.9
39.642.5
Auto13.3
Teleop26.3
End6.2
Third
8051
#26
23.92.7
27.129.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.6
blue by 8.0
9992
#21
32.04.8
19.023.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned