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Red111
999326.5
592033.0
255744.0
Blue63
594133.3
593720.5
998818.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107105010015020011163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.1
37.939.0
Auto11.6
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 10.7
33.30.6
25.324.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.7
End9.3
Second
5920
#20
33.01.1
32.934.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End8.4
red by 12.5
5937
#33
20.50.6
23.122.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Third
9993
#18
26.51.8
23.725.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End4.4
red by 7.8
9988
#31
18.71.0
23.722.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned