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Red117
366356.2
252234.2
999932.5
Blue128
291078.7
999816.0
468248.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79149050100200250117128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.9
54.855.6
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
blue by 22.5
78.70.3
64.965.2
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
Second
2522
#17
34.20.9
27.428.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.3
End7.6
blue by 14.3
4682
#12
48.40.3
39.840.1
Auto15.3
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Third
9999
#22
32.51.4
22.023.4
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
red by 16.6
9998
#30
16.00.5
19.219.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned