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Red105
762743.6
451225.9
999428.6
Blue108
189930.6
491145.0
635014.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9877050150200105108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#15
43.61.1
52.853.9
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.2
blue by 1.5
4911
#10
45.02.3
37.639.9
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
Second
9994
#28
28.61.8
14.616.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 1.9
1899
#14
30.62.3
27.529.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Third
4512
#16
25.91.1
21.822.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 11.8
6350
#27
14.12.3
8.610.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned