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Red153
639026.3
291078.7
491145.0
Blue108
94835.8
594133.3
746137.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151104050200250153108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.71.0
67.568.5
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
red by 41.4
7461
#19
37.30.3
38.538.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Second
4911
#10
45.01.0
39.340.3
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
red by 9.2
948
#13
35.80.3
35.235.5
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End4.8
Third
6390
#32
26.31.0
32.533.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.4
blue by 7.0
33.30.3
29.329.6
Auto9.4
Teleop14.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned