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Red87
451225.9
999932.5
999326.5
Blue107
417321.9
299028.4
592033.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78775060709010087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#22
32.51.7
24.225.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
blue by 0.4
5920
#20
33.00.3
35.335.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End8.4
Second
9993
#18
26.51.7
25.627.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 1.9
2990
#24
28.40.3
23.223.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Third
4512
#16
25.91.0
21.822.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 4.0
4173
#23
21.90.3
21.421.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned