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Red97
746137.3
593720.5
451329.3
Blue120
154046.0
999932.5
594133.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94959010010511011512097120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#19
37.30.0
38.938.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
blue by 8.6
46.01.4
43.344.7
Auto13.3
Teleop26.3
End6.2
Second
4513
#25
29.30.0
27.927.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 4.1
33.31.4
29.631.1
Auto9.4
Teleop14.7
End9.3
Third
5937
#33
20.50.0
20.920.8
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 12.1
9999
#22
32.52.3
25.928.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned