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Red106
189930.6
451225.9
366356.2
Blue140
255744.0
762743.6
299028.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611590100110120130140150106140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.4
54.153.8
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
red by 12.2
44.01.3
39.040.3
Auto11.6
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Second
1899
#14
30.60.4
34.334.0
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
blue by 13.0
7627
#15
43.61.3
48.349.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.2
Third
4512
#16
25.90.4
22.822.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
blue by 2.5
2990
#24
28.41.3
23.624.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned