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Red154
999232.0
291078.7
998818.7
Blue79
241252.6
593720.5
639026.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120107608010014016018015479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.72.8
67.770.5
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
red by 26.1
2412
#11
52.61.5
50.348.8
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
9992
#21
32.04.4
28.232.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End7.8
red by 5.7
6390
#32
26.31.5
31.930.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.4
Third
9988
#31
18.74.4
16.120.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 1.8
5937
#33
20.51.5
19.718.1
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed