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Red72
451329.3
417321.9
999932.5
Blue96
999428.6
746137.3
189930.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691070501502007296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#22
32.50.5
26.826.4
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
blue by 4.8
7461
#19
37.30.4
39.839.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Second
4513
#25
29.30.3
29.329.0
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 1.3
1899
#14
30.60.4
34.133.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Third
4173
#23
21.90.3
20.820.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End5.7
blue by 6.7
9994
#28
28.60.6
22.822.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsMissed