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Red80
999232.0
999326.5
189930.6
Blue115
746137.3
999932.5
241252.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512005015020080115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#21
32.00.8
32.832.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End7.8
blue by 20.6
2412
#11
52.61.1
48.347.2
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
1899
#14
30.60.7
31.530.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
blue by 6.7
7461
#19
37.31.1
38.337.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Third
9993
#18
26.50.8
26.926.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 6.0
9999
#22
32.51.3
28.427.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned