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Red59
417321.9
639026.3
805123.9
Blue124
999055.9
999816.0
299028.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811105010015020059124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#32
26.31.9
28.226.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.4
blue by 29.6
55.91.8
54.456.2
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
Second
8051
#26
23.91.9
25.923.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.6
blue by 4.5
2990
#24
28.41.6
25.827.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Third
4173
#23
21.91.9
23.921.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End5.7
red by 5.9
9998
#30
16.01.8
14.216.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned