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Red142
451225.9
999055.9
177849.2
Blue173
241252.6
999932.5
491145.0
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138125050100150200250142173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.3
55.755.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
red by 3.4
2412
#11
52.61.1
50.151.2
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
49.20.3
48.949.2
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End9.8
red by 4.2
4911
#10
45.01.1
42.643.7
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
Third
4512
#16
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
blue by 6.7
9999
#22
32.51.1
30.131.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1