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Red122
189934.2
49242.8
94838.2
Blue121
902326.6
746151.3
48846.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103126406080140160180122121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#10
42.81.2
37.939.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.9
blue by 8.6
51.30.4
49.549.8
Auto14.4
Teleop29.0
End7.3
Second
948
#11
38.21.2
29.330.5
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End7.7
blue by 8.1
488
#7
46.30.4
42.042.3
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End9.6
Third
34.21.2
32.333.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End7.6
red by 7.6
9023
#13
26.60.4
24.224.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned