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Red99
593733.5
129427.9
468233.3
Blue126
36044.7
805123.6
292834.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899405015020099126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#25
33.51.0
30.831.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End7.0
blue by 11.2
360
#2
44.72.6
36.939.4
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
4682
#14
33.31.0
31.332.2
Auto11.8
Teleop15.1
End6.4
blue by 1.4
2928
#23
34.72.6
30.232.8
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
1294
#15
27.91.0
22.123.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7
red by 4.3
8051
#18
23.63.1
20.423.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned