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Red141
445025.3
48846.3
36044.7
Blue126
824830.7
129427.9
94838.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249850150200141126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#7
46.30.6
45.145.7
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End9.6
red by 8.1
948
#11
38.20.7
37.538.2
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End7.7
Second
360
#2
44.70.6
43.544.1
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End8.5
red by 14.0
8248
#24
30.70.7
30.030.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
4450
#31
25.30.6
24.124.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End6.2
blue by 2.7
1294
#15
27.90.7
27.327.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7