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Red107
297623.3
491134.5
291061.9
Blue65
368111.8
131840.3
304919.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11549010015010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.8
39.640.4
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 21.5
40.30.1
22.122.2
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
34.50.8
28.629.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End9.5
red by 15.0
3049
#21
19.50.1
18.218.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
2976
#11
23.30.8
31.432.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End7.5
red by 11.5
3681
#26
11.80.1
13.914.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed