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Red101
293050.2
252235.1
824816.7
Blue49
451219.4
408923.2
292823.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81650204010012014010149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.23.0
35.638.5
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
red by 26.3
2928
#29
23.92.9
16.613.7
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Second
35.13.0
24.727.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
red by 11.9
4089
#22
23.22.9
23.020.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End8.7
Third
8248
#25
16.73.0
14.117.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 2.8
4512
#19
19.42.9
23.820.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed