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Red16
177820.2
20974.5
558818.9
Blue48
468122.9
94911.2
417321.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514701001501648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#30
20.23.5
20.016.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End7.0
blue by 2.7
4681
#10
22.90.2
15.014.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.7
End6.7
Second
5588
#24
18.93.5
17.113.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 3.1
4173
#12
21.90.2
17.217.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End6.9
Third
2097
#33
4.53.5
10.26.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 6.6
949
#28
11.20.2
12.812.5
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed