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Red122
291061.9
762739.1
498017.2
Blue60
298016.7
413138.6
297623.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818360709010011012012260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.93.9
40.444.3
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 23.3
4131
#13
38.62.0
25.723.7
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End8.0
Second
39.13.9
19.022.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.8
End8.7
red by 15.8
2976
#11
23.32.0
32.230.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End7.5
Third
4980
#32
17.23.9
17.321.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 0.5
2980
#15
16.72.0
19.917.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed