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Red37
290312.1
594116.8
297623.3
Blue33
304919.5
298016.7
94911.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801001201403733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#11
23.33.0
25.422.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End7.5
red by 3.8
3049
#21
19.52.5
22.620.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Second
5941
#18
16.83.0
15.812.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
red by 0.1
2980
#15
16.72.5
12.910.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
Third
2903
#27
12.13.0
17.914.9
Auto0.6
Teleop7.9
End3.7
red by 1.0
949
#28
11.22.5
15.312.7
Auto7.2
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed