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Red68
468222.8
292823.9
417321.9
Blue111
241234.5
131840.3
468122.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589920408012014016018068111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#29
23.90.1
21.221.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 16.4
40.31.2
39.841.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
4682
#23
22.80.1
18.318.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6
blue by 11.8
2412
#16
34.51.2
31.132.3
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Third
4173
#12
21.90.1
20.019.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End6.9
blue by 1.0
4681
#10
22.91.4
16.718.1
Auto9.6
Teleop6.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned