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Red130
293050.2
48832.9
298016.7
Blue80
241234.5
417321.9
408923.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9976406012014016013080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.22.6
43.346.0
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
red by 15.6
2412
#16
34.50.5
32.332.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Second
488
#4
32.92.6
32.735.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.6
End7.6
red by 9.7
4089
#22
23.20.5
22.222.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End8.7
Third
2980
#15
16.72.4
14.216.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7
blue by 5.2
4173
#12
21.90.5
19.920.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned