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Red94
558818.9
491528.2
413138.6
Blue90
297623.3
468222.8
131840.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86974060801201401609490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
38.60.9
36.237.1
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End8.0
blue by 1.7
40.30.3
41.240.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.8
End7.1
Second
28.20.9
26.527.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
red by 4.9
2976
#11
23.30.4
25.825.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End7.5
Third
5588
#24
18.90.9
19.720.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 3.9
4682
#23
22.80.3
22.422.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned