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Red183
293050.2
291061.9
177820.2
Blue39
382620.0
903617.6
298016.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15344010020025018339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.3
61.361.6
Auto18.5
Teleop36.8
End6.6
red by 41.8
3826
#14
20.00.4
20.219.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End7.0
Second
50.20.3
49.649.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.2
End10.0
red by 32.5
9036
#17
17.60.4
17.817.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.9
Third
1778
#30
20.20.3
19.619.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End7.0
red by 3.5
2980
#15
16.70.4
16.916.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End5.7