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Red86
594116.8
252235.1
491134.5
Blue99
468222.8
214735.5
491528.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97890501502008699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.3
36.636.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End7.0
blue by 0.4
35.50.1
34.834.9
Auto13.2
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Second
34.50.3
35.935.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End9.5
red by 6.3
28.20.1
27.527.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Third
5941
#18
16.80.3
17.417.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
blue by 6.0
4682
#23
22.80.1
22.122.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.8
End6.6