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Red125
131843.3
413146.1
387612.1
Blue72
371216.1
451331.0
412516.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12045010015012572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.11.5
40.041.4
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End8.8
red by 15.1
4513
#16
31.01.4
23.424.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End7.8
Second
43.31.5
40.842.3
Auto13.9
Teleop23.1
End6.3
red by 27.2
3712
#21
16.11.4
12.814.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End5.7
Third
3876
#23
12.12.4
22.424.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End5.8
blue by 4.0
4125
#26
16.11.4
15.416.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed