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Red129
292625.7
214748.8
281139.5
Blue123
683122.8
291067.9
371140.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001386080120160180200129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.82.0
43.145.1
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
blue by 19.2
67.90.1
67.367.2
Auto19.1
Teleop41.4
End7.1
Second
39.52.0
31.833.8
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
blue by 1.2
40.70.1
36.736.6
Auto12.8
Teleop21.6
End6.2
Third
2926
#15
25.72.0
23.725.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End5.5
red by 2.8
6831
#25
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto8.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned