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Red141
546828.7
214748.8
644337.5
Blue90
281139.5
406026.2
371216.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187340608010014016018014190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.82.1
46.048.1
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
red by 9.3
39.50.7
34.935.6
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
Second
37.52.1
34.436.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 11.3
4060
#19
26.20.7
24.024.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End8.2
Third
5468
#11
28.72.1
24.726.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End7.3
red by 12.6
3712
#21
16.10.7
15.416.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed