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Red96
498028.0
410413.4
853232.5
Blue106
95541.3
49228.0
469224.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63100020408012014016096106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8532
#24
32.52.1
26.628.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 8.9
955
#5
41.31.1
40.341.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.2
End6.3
Second
4980
#18
28.02.1
26.728.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.8
Level
492
#13
28.01.4
26.527.8
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Third
4104
#20
13.42.1
10.913.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End4.7
blue by 11.2
4692
#22
24.61.4
22.623.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed