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Red138
214748.8
291067.9
412516.1
Blue133
281139.5
746146.2
406026.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431146080100160180200138133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.2
67.367.4
Auto19.1
Teleop41.4
End7.1
red by 21.7
7461
#14
46.20.5
45.746.2
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Second
48.80.2
48.148.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
red by 9.3
39.50.5
39.039.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
Third
4125
#26
16.10.2
15.415.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 10.1
4060
#19
26.20.5
25.726.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End8.2