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Red74
498028.0
546828.7
382622.6
Blue158
412516.1
291067.9
214748.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751505010020074158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#11
28.70.2
29.028.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End7.3
blue by 39.2
67.90.4
67.467.8
Auto19.1
Teleop41.4
End7.1
Second
4980
#18
28.00.2
28.228.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End5.8
blue by 20.8
48.80.4
48.348.6
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
Third
3826
#17
22.60.2
22.922.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End7.4
red by 6.5
4125
#26
16.10.4
15.616.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.8