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Red101
214748.8
291067.9
412516.1
Blue117
853232.5
49228.0
451331.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1528250100200101117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.7
68.167.4
Auto19.1
Teleop41.4
End7.1
red by 35.4
8532
#24
32.50.7
30.631.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
48.80.7
49.048.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.9
End7.4
red by 17.8
4513
#16
31.00.7
29.229.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End7.8
Third
4125
#26
16.10.7
16.315.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 11.9
492
#13
28.00.7
26.226.8
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0