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Red91
469224.6
159520.6
371140.7
Blue127
281139.5
746146.2
406026.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712020406010014016018091127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.740.8
Auto12.8
Teleop21.6
End6.2
blue by 5.4
7461
#14
46.20.4
45.045.4
Auto11.5
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Second
4692
#22
24.60.1
24.624.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.2
blue by 14.9
39.50.4
38.338.7
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End7.0
Third
20.60.1
20.620.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 5.5
4060
#19
26.20.4
25.025.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End8.2