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Red137
761936.1
217529.7
233863.1
Blue101
638144.3
590339.2
282624.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11278050100150137101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.12.4
49.952.3
Auto16.4
Teleop37.5
End8.5
red by 18.7
6381
#10
44.31.6
33.935.4
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End7.7
Second
36.13.0
26.129.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.6
End7.6
blue by 3.1
5903
#22
39.22.6
24.927.5
Auto8.0
Teleop24.3
End6.9
Third
2175
#25
29.72.7
24.427.2
Auto13.1
Teleop11.2
End5.4
red by 5.2
2826
#28
24.51.9
18.820.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed