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Red99
501926.5
203935.7
369228.5
Blue55
802420.2
64822.2
109124.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969506080901009955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#18
35.72.3
22.524.8
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6
red by 11.4
1091
#43
24.30.7
23.122.4
Auto6.6
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Second
3692
#33
28.52.8
21.624.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 6.3
648
#42
22.20.7
16.616.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Third
5019
#29
26.53.8
21.024.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End6.8
red by 6.3
8024
#47
20.20.7
25.324.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed