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Red105
219437.6
710347.9
616627.9
Blue52
91498.1
130625.6
870134.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9584406012014016010552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#11
47.91.4
38.840.2
Auto15.2
Teleop24.3
End8.2
red by 13.9
8701
#49
34.01.9
35.934.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End7.6
Second
2194
#17
37.61.1
29.030.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.6
End8.6
red by 12.1
1306
#34
25.61.9
23.521.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End6.5
Third
6166
#32
27.91.1
20.221.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End5.3
red by 19.9
9149
#51
8.13.1
20.617.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed