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Red130
405425.4
465542.3
327641.8
Blue73
453129.6
878227.5
379221.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876305010015013073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#30
42.33.1
32.235.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
red by 12.7
4531
#23
29.60.9
23.324.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End8.1
Second
3276
#14
41.84.1
29.133.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
red by 14.3
8782
#35
27.51.2
19.520.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Third
4054
#37
25.45.1
17.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.0
End7.3
red by 4.4
3792
#48
21.10.8
19.720.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned