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Red124
591419.4
851638.8
465542.3
Blue136
11242.7
206238.4
327641.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72114050100150200124136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#30
42.32.7
35.238.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End7.3
blue by 0.4
112
#21
42.72.3
36.538.8
Auto10.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Second
8516
#12
38.83.4
22.926.3
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1
blue by 3.0
3276
#14
41.82.8
33.236.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
5914
#41
19.43.0
14.717.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End5.0
blue by 19.0
2062
#27
38.42.3
32.134.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned