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Red118
558640.1
17134.7
338128.3
Blue59
401132.6
171620.7
791524.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927420406010012014016011859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#19
40.12.4
30.532.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End8.9
red by 7.5
4011
#38
32.61.5
31.029.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Second
171
#15
34.72.2
26.628.8
Auto13.9
Teleop14.3
End6.4
red by 10.0
7915
#53
24.71.2
25.224.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Third
3381
#39
28.32.4
26.729.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End7.3
red by 7.6
1716
#44
20.71.5
15.814.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed