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Red96
702161.1
64822.2
130625.6
Blue101
217529.7
851638.8
401132.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079405015020025096101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.10.2
57.156.9
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 22.3
8516
#12
38.80.4
30.831.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End8.1
Second
1306
#34
25.60.2
25.024.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End6.5
blue by 7.1
4011
#38
32.60.4
30.931.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Third
648
#42
22.20.2
16.916.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
blue by 7.4
2175
#25
29.70.4
28.528.9
Auto13.1
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned