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Red109
590339.2
453129.6
710347.9
Blue126
453941.5
248155.6
544233.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109128406080100120140160180200109126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#11
47.90.3
43.744.0
Auto15.2
Teleop24.3
End8.2
blue by 7.7
55.60.6
47.948.4
Auto15.3
Teleop31.4
End8.6
Second
5903
#22
39.20.5
32.232.7
Auto8.0
Teleop24.3
End6.9
blue by 2.3
4539
#31
41.50.6
38.438.9
Auto12.5
Teleop24.7
End4.3
Third
4531
#23
29.60.3
28.729.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End8.1
blue by 3.7
5442
#20
33.30.6
31.532.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned