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Red101
401132.6
590339.2
501926.5
Blue85
203935.7
853136.0
870024.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727520406010012014010185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#22
39.23.1
21.824.9
Auto8.0
Teleop24.3
End6.9
red by 3.2
8531
#36
36.01.0
32.633.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End9.0
Second
4011
#38
32.62.5
28.531.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End7.5
blue by 3.0
2039
#18
35.71.1
21.422.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Third
5019
#29
26.53.1
17.921.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End6.8
red by 1.7
8700
#50
24.81.3
15.817.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed