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Red129
216939.9
417432.5
702161.1
Blue91
206238.4
282624.5
338128.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117320406010012014016018012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.12.0
49.351.3
Auto14.9
Teleop36.9
End8.1
red by 22.7
2062
#27
38.41.2
30.932.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Second
2169
#16
39.92.0
31.033.0
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End7.8
red by 11.5
3381
#39
28.31.6
25.226.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End7.3
Third
4174
#24
32.53.3
18.822.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.3
End7.4
red by 8.1
2826
#28
24.51.6
17.218.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned